Core CPI Bleeds 3.1% vs. September Rate Cut Odds 90%: What Now?

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2025-08-12 19:41:01

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The latest July CPI inflation data has reignited debates across Wall Street. While the Consumer Price Index held steady at 2.7%, slightly below the anticipated 2.8%, Core inflation surprised markets with an unexpected uptick. This divergence complicates the Federal Reserve's path forward as traders price in a 90% probability of a September rate cut.

Market participants now grapple with mixed signals—headline inflation cooling but underlying pressures persisting. Such conditions historically create volatility windows for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin and ethereum often serve as liquidity proxies during monetary policy uncertainty.

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